July 15, 2026 · Extra von NotHaus, Principal
The Explosion of Precious-Metals Crypto and the Case for a Silver-Backed Token
For many years, tokenized gold was a curiosity. In 2026 it became a market. The users, the volumes, and the market capitalizations behind gold-backed tokens have all gone vertical, riding one of the most violent precious-metals rallies in living memory. Yet almost none of that money has found its way to silver. That gap between proven demand, proven infrastructure, and near-zero silver supply is the opportunity, and the numbers behind it are difficult to ignore.
The underlying metals did something rare in 2025. Gold rose 66 percent on the year, its best annual gain since 1979, climbing from roughly $2,624 at the start of 2025 to an all-time high of $5,589 per ounce on January 28, 2026. Silver did considerably more. It opened 2025 near $30 and ran up 142 percent on the year before peaking at a record $121.62 per ounce on January 29, 2026, at its intraday extreme more than 279 percent above where it started. This was not a quiet drift higher but a genuine repricing of both metals in a matter of months.
Both metals have since cooled, with gold sitting near $4,195 and silver near $70 by the middle of 2026, but that correction reads as a pause inside a bull market rather than a reversal. The structural story remains intact. Silver has now run a sixth consecutive year of supply deficit, with roughly 762 million ounces of cumulative inventory drawdown, and the physical market is tighter than most investors appreciate. J.P. Morgan projects silver averaging $81 per ounce in 2026, more than double its 2025 average, while Bank of America's metals desk models a bull case of between $135 and $309 per ounce before year-end. A metal that is rising, scarce, and volatile in the right direction is precisely the kind of asset that pulls capital on-chain.
The metals rally lit a fire under gold-backed tokens, and the growth has been explosive on every axis that matters. The tokenized gold segment topped $6 billion in February 2026, adding more than $2 billion in the first six weeks of the year alone. Two issuers, Tether Gold and PAX Gold, command between 96 and 97 percent of the category, at roughly $2.52 billion and $2.32 billion respectively by the end of the first quarter. Trading volume tells the same story: tokenized gold turned over a record $90.7 billion in the first quarter of 2026, surpassing its entire 2025 volume in a single quarter.
The clearest signal of latent demand, however, is user growth. According to Makamae's own market data, Tether Gold users grew by more than 400 percent in under a year, rising from 7,500 in July 2025 to 38,500 in April 2026, while its market capitalization grew by more than 200 percent over eight months, from $850 million to $2.6 billion. Because that market-cap growth ran well ahead of the move in gold's price, it reflects genuine net new buyers rather than mere mark-to-market appreciation. PAX Gold users grew by more than 85 percent over the same window, from 46,000 to 86,000, and across the leading precious-metals tokens average user growth was roughly 250 percent since July 2025. These are not casual positions, either: the average Tether Gold holder owns 14.5 ounces, worth about $69,000, and the average PAX Gold holder owns six ounces, worth roughly $28,000.
Set that demand against the supply of silver exposure in crypto and the imbalance is stark. Total cryptocurrency market capitalization stands at approximately $2.5 trillion. Precious-metals-backed tokens account for only about $5 billion of it, or roughly two-tenths of one percent, and silver-backed tokens make up just about $260 million of that, concentrated almost entirely in a single issuer, Kinesis Silver, which independent trackers value somewhere between $220 million and $420 million depending on the date. Silver-backed tokens are therefore only about five percent of an already tiny precious-metals segment. Put plainly, roughly 99.99 percent of all crypto has zero silver exposure.
The underweight is even more striking measured against the real world. Silver represents about 0.7 percent of all global financial assets, yet its share of the crypto market capitalization is only 0.007 percent, a factor of one hundred below its natural weight. Rebuilding silver's crypto footprint to a merely proportional allocation would take the segment from roughly $260 million to about $26 billion. That hundredfold figure is not a speculative moonshot but simply silver drawing even with the footprint it already holds across the broader financial system, and on that basis the silver-backed token segment could credibly be worth north of $25 billion.
This is a trend rather than a one-off, and silver-on-chain is a bet with the current rather than against it. The entire real-world-asset tokenization market reached roughly $31 billion by July 2026, up more than 400 percent since the start of 2025, spread across more than 960,000 holders on 167 platforms. Tokenized Treasuries, private credit, and now tokenized equities are all compounding at more than 60 percent year-over-year, and the long-range forecasts are aggressive: McKinsey models around $2 trillion by 2030, Boston Consulting Group as much as $16 trillion, and Standard Chartered as high as $30 trillion by 2034. Every real asset that can be tokenized is being tokenized, gold has already made the jump and printed a clear demand curve, and silver, larger in industrial relevance, cheaper per ounce, more volatile, and far more accessible to retail buyers, is the obvious next asset to follow the same path.
What keeps the door open is that demand is proven while the products serving it are not built for the crypto user. The gold incumbents impose punishing redemption minimums, requiring 430 ounces to redeem PAX Gold or Tether Gold, more than $140,000 of metal at recent prices, and 200 ounces at Kinesis. Most give the holder price exposure but no legal title to the underlying bullion, with delivery confined to a single city, Switzerland for Tether Gold and London for PAX Gold. A silver-backed token engineered for the way crypto actually behaves, with one-ounce redemption minimums, legally enforceable ownership under the Uniform Commercial Code, global delivery, on-chain proof-of-reserves, and one-click purchase from a wallet, is not competing on the same axis so much as opening the category to everyone the gold products priced out.
The setup reduces to a single line. The metal is rallying and structurally scarce, the tokenization wave is real, compounding, and now mainstream, gold-backed tokens have already proven the demand with 400 percent user growth and record volumes, and silver, at 0.7 percent of global assets but only 0.007 percent of crypto, sits almost entirely untokenized, held back only by products that were never designed for the crypto buyer. The demand curve has already been drawn. It simply has not been drawn in silver yet.
Figures are drawn from the Makamae Q2 2026 intro deck and public market data from April through July 2026. Precious-metals prices are volatile; the all-time highs cited for gold and silver in January 2026 were followed by corrections to roughly $4,195 and $70 respectively by mid-2026. Nothing here is investment advice.
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